Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.031133 0.033489 0.035846 0.038377 0.041015 0.043680 0.046573
2025-09-28 0.025840 0.029501 0.033293 0.037498 0.042014 0.046704 0.051929
2025-10-05 0.023703 0.028237 0.033048 0.038497 0.044467 0.050777 0.057921
2025-10-12 0.021505 0.026616 0.032155 0.038548 0.045668 0.053304 0.062061
2025-10-19 0.019659 0.025204 0.031330 0.038519 0.046641 0.055460 0.065686
2025-10-26 0.018671 0.024666 0.031399 0.039408 0.048563 0.058601 0.070342
2025-11-02 0.017384 0.023683 0.030877 0.039549 0.049576 0.060676 0.073767
2025-11-09 0.016143 0.022672 0.030251 0.039507 0.050325 0.062408 0.076766
2025-11-16 0.014992 0.021699 0.029610 0.039392 0.050944 0.063954 0.079524
2025-11-23 0.013878 0.020709 0.028894 0.039141 0.051362 0.065236 0.081953
2025-11-30 0.012940 0.019887 0.028339 0.039042 0.051926 0.066661 0.084522
2025-12-07 0.011833 0.018790 0.027398 0.038434 0.051849 0.067310 0.086172
2025-12-14 0.010725 0.017685 0.026460 0.037869 0.051887 0.068179 0.088191
2025-12-21 0.009542 0.016426 0.025292 0.036997 0.051547 0.068611 0.089724
2025-12-28 0.009240 0.016348 0.025626 0.037988 0.053467 0.071717 0.094395
2026-01-04 0.008587 0.015739 0.025234 0.038038 0.054211 0.073407 0.097388
2026-01-11 0.007956 0.015122 0.024802 0.038010 0.054838 0.074942 0.100185
2026-01-18 0.007708 0.015045 0.025082 0.038891 0.056594 0.077838 0.104608
2026-01-25 0.007215 0.014575 0.024806 0.039031 0.057407 0.079583 0.107650
2026-02-01 0.006695 0.014032 0.024406 0.038989 0.057975 0.081019 0.110314
2026-02-08 0.006190 0.013479 0.023967 0.038876 0.058437 0.082314 0.112801
2026-02-15 0.005678 0.012884 0.023443 0.038627 0.058709 0.083364 0.114983
2026-02-22 0.005247 0.012391 0.023044 0.038529 0.059163 0.084628 0.117420